Monday, October 22, 2012

Policy paralysis to policy puncture - the LPG cylinder cap fiasco

The government of India, in its March 2012 Union Budget had estimated the subsidy expenditure as 2.2 lakh crore rupees. In an attempt to bring the economy back to track, reduce the fiscal deficit and under pressure from the IMF and the World Bank, the UPA 2 government decided to bite the bullet and to cut subsidies. Cutting subsidies meant increase in prices of diesel, LPG, fertilizers, etcetera.

The cutting of LPG subsidies raised eye brows of every Indian mother and wife. The government decided that it will provide only six cylinders a year at subsidized rate, i.e., at Rs. 425. People who needed more would have to shell out Rs. 920 per cylinder, more than double the amount at which cylinders used to be bought earlier. Soon, distressed urban people started to think of alternatives like electric induction cookers, and their rural counterparts thought of bio-gas plants. 

People living in individual houses or bungalows were not as badly hit as the people living in apartments. In apartments, many had piped LPG connections. Cylinders were stored in the society's cylinder bank and gas was supplied to each of the kitchens via pipes. Here the cylinders were registered with the supplier in the name of the society and not individuals. This means, in paper, there was only one single customer. The law said that each customer would be given only six cylinders at the subsidized rate. This simply meant that irrespective of the number of houses in buildings, they would only receive six cylinders at a subsidized rate. One would really wonder how the government managed to not think of this, while framing the law, when we have a huge percentage of people in urban India living in apartments. 

But to the apartment living people's relief, the government soon amended the law and accepted that individual houses in apartments would be considered as separate customers and that each house would get six cylinders per year at subsidized rates.

Now, the government has come up with the 'kind to cash' policy, wherein customers, on displaying their Aadhar card would be given cash, equivalent to the cost of six subsidized cylinders. This was done to avoid pilferage and diminish the role of middlemen. Here again the government has a hurdle to cross. How will the government implement this policy in apartments where only some houses may have an Aadhar card and avail this facility, while others who do not have one will have to continue procuring in kind (cylinders)? Not to forget that each house in the apartment is considered as separate customer but the gas is still being supplied to houses from the common society cylinder bank.

Under the 'one house, one LPG connection' policy, the government had made it illegal for a household to have multiple LPG connections. However, oil marketing companies have the powers to make an exception to this policy by giving a household more than one LPG connection if the household has two kitchens and if they can show that food is being prepared in both kitchens. In this case, such household will get six plus six cylinders at subsidized rates. Is it that difficult to show a room as a kitchen and cook in that room at the time of applying for multiple LPG connections? This would mean that, that particular customer would get twelve cylinders per year, throughout if he manages to do this simple malpractice for a very small period.

Interestingly, the central government has let it for the states to decide as to how many cylinders they want to provide to their people at subsidized rates. The states have the freedom to spend from its exchequer and give more than six cylinders to its people. It is quite possible that the state governments may do this, by spending more than what it actually can, or by taking loans and eventually ask the centre for a relief package or to waive of its debts. Such acts will defeat the entire purpose of this cap on LPG subsidy. 

The restless government at the centre, with less than two years remaining in power is desperately trying to bring in reforms. It would be appropriate if they do not take policy decisions in haste, lest it will shift from policy paralysis to policy puncture.